Game Result Predictions
Thursday, February 7

The R1 Prediction calculates each team's final score, margin of victory (spread), and probability of winning the game.

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Holmes Convocation Center Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Texas State
(12-17, Road 7-8)
56 61 +6.0 30% 128 57 +14.0 1%
Appalachian State
(22-14, Home 14-3)
77 67 -6.0 70% Actual:
133 (5)
71 -14.0 99%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
First National Bank Arena Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
South Alabama
(23-11, Road 9-7)
58 72 -4.0 64% 140 75 -11.0 98%
Arkansas State
(12-18, Home 9-5)
69 68 +4.0 36% Actual:
127 (-13)
64 +11.0 2%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Auburn Arena Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Kentucky
(25-8, Road 6-4)
78 67 -1.0 54% 133 68 -4.0 80%
Auburn
(21-10, Home 9-5)
68 66 +1.0 46% Actual:
146 (13)
64 +4.0 20%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Dave Aaron Arena Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
SIUE
(12-16, Road 6-11)
65 60 +8.0 24% 128 62 +4.0 18%
Austin Peay
(13-15, Home 9-4)
76 68 -8.0 76% Actual:
141 (13)
66 -4.0 82%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Marriott Center Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Saint Mary's College
(21-12, Road 8-6)
78 69 +2.0 42% 140 63 +13.5 1%
BYU
(26-7, Home 12-2)
75 71 -2.0 58% Actual:
153 (13)
76 -13.5 99%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Halton Arena Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Middle Tennessee
(23-11, Road 8-7)
62 59 -4.0 64% 114 57 -1.0 62%
Charlotte
(18-13, Home 13-2)
55 55 +4.0 36% Actual:
117 (3)
56 +1.0 38%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Jones Convocation Center Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
California Baptist
(14-12, Road 7-6)
93 94 -33.0 99% 155 88 -23.5 100%
Chicago State
(2-28, Home 2-11)
67 61 +33.0 1% Actual:
160 (5)
65 +23.5 0%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
The HTC Center Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
UTA
(24-8, Road 12-4)
67 70 -5.0 67% 135 73 -13.0 99%
Coastal Carolina
(15-15, Home 9-6)
64 65 +5.0 33% Actual:
131 (-4)
60 +13.0 1%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
McBrayer Arena Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Belmont
(26-7, Road 12-4)
87 78 -28.0 98% 128 83 -39.0 100%
Eastern Kentucky
(0-27, Home 0-11)
52 50 +28.0 2% Actual:
139 (11)
44 +39.0 0%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Reese Court Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Montana State
(15-15, Road 7-8)
61 65 +1.0 46% 131 63 +3.0 26%
Eastern Washington
(12-20, Home 3-10)
47 66 -1.0 54% Actual:
108 (-23)
66 -3.0 74%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Webster Bank Arena Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Canisius
(11-19, Road 4-10)
65 53 +4.0 36% 110 51 +7.5 6%
Fairfield
(11-20, Home 5-7)
72 57 -4.0 64% Actual:
137 (27)
58 -7.5 94%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
FAU Arena Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
UTEP
(9-22, Road 3-9)
70 64 -4.0 64% 124 66 -9.0 96%
FAU
(5-25, Home 4-12)
44 60 +4.0 36% Actual:
114 (-10)
57 +9.0 4%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Ocean Bank Convocation Center Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
UTSA
(5-21, Road 1-10)
40 63 +2.0 42% 128 64 -0.5 55%
FIU
(5-23, Home 5-12)
51 65 -2.0 58% Actual:
91 (-37)
63 +0.5 45%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Exactech Arena Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Alabama
(14-17, Road 3-7)
55 65 -3.0 61% 127 62 +0.5 54%
Florida
(8-23, Home 6-9)
57 62 +3.0 39% Actual:
112 (-15)
63 -0.5 46%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Donald L. Tucker Center Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
North Carolina State
(28-6, Road 8-2)
70 64 +1.0 46% 129 66 -4.0 81%
Florida State
(24-9, Home 12-4)
75 65 -1.0 54% Actual:
145 (16)
62 +4.0 19%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
W. S. Hanner Fieldhouse Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Louisiana
(7-22, Road 2-13)
71 68 +1.0 46% 137 67 +0.5 47%
Georgia Southern
(6-22, Home 3-10)
79 69 -1.0 54% Actual:
150 (13)
68 -0.5 53%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
GSU Sports Arena Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
ULM
(8-19, Road 4-11)
46 49 +12.0 16% 110 47 +16.0 0%
Georgia State
(17-14, Home 10-4)
68 61 -12.0 84% Actual:
114 (4)
63 -16.0 100%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
McCamish Pavilion Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Pittsburgh
(11-20, Road 3-8)
55 53 +16.0 10% 122 53 +15.0 1%
Georgia Tech
(17-13, Home 11-3)
67 69 -16.0 90% Actual:
122 (0)
68 -15.0 99%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Kress Events Center Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Northern Kentucky
(10-18, Road 3-11)
42 44 +20.0 6% 108 43 +21.5 0%
Green Bay
(21-10, Home 12-3)
70 64 -20.0 94% Actual:
112 (4)
64 -21.5 100%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Cowan Spectrum Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Montana
(13-16, Road 3-11)
68 68 +13.0 14% 149 63 +21.5 0%
Idaho
(22-12, Home 11-2)
76 81 -13.0 86% Actual:
144 (-5)
84 -21.5 100%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Reed Gym Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Northern Arizona
(13-18, Road 5-10)
81 57 +16.0 10% 130 59 +11.5 2%
Idaho State
(19-11, Home 9-3)
77 73 -16.0 90% Actual:
158 (28)
70 -11.5 98%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Hynes Athletics Center Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Siena
(12-18, Road 5-7)
66 57 -6.0 70% 108 54 -0.5 56%
Iona
(5-26, Home 2-13)
45 51 +6.0 30% Actual:
111 (3)
53 +0.5 44%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Carver-Hawkeye Arena Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Michigan State
(21-12, Road 3-9)
71 72 +10.0 20% 154 67 +20.0 0%
Iowa
(29-7, Home 16-0)
86 82 -10.0 80% Actual:
157 (3)
87 -20.0 100%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Jack Stephens Center Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Troy
(21-9, Road 8-5)
72 70 +1.0 46% 141 65 +10.0 3%
Little Rock
(21-11, Home 10-5)
76 71 -1.0 54% Actual:
148 (7)
75 -10.0 97%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
KFC Yum! Center Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Syracuse
(25-9, Road 6-4)
51 67 +13.0 14% 147 65 +15.5 0%
Louisville
(32-4, Home 15-1)
76 80 -13.0 86% Actual:
127 (-20)
80 -15.5 100%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Pete Maravich Assembly Center Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Arkansas
(22-15, Road 6-6)
34 61 +6.0 30% 128 63 +1.0 40%
LSU
(16-13, Home 11-6)
71 67 -6.0 70% Actual:
105 (-23)
64 -1.0 60%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Draddy Gymnasium Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Marist
(23-10, Road 10-4)
62 61 -7.0 73% 115 62 -10.5 98%
Manhattan
(12-19, Home 7-9)
51 54 +7.0 27% Actual:
113 (-2)
51 +10.5 2%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Cam Henderson Center Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
North Texas
(15-16, Road 3-8)
55 63 +1.0 46% 127 62 +0.5 45%
Marshall
(16-15, Home 10-5)
67 64 -1.0 54% Actual:
122 (-5)
63 -0.5 55%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
XFINITY Center Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Northwestern
(21-15, Road 8-8)
57 58 +12.0 16% 128 56 +15.5 0%
Maryland
(29-5, Home 15-2)
72 70 -12.0 84% Actual:
129 (1)
71 -15.5 100%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Watsco Center Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Notre Dame
(35-4, Road 10-2)
65 83 -11.0 82% 155 84 -15.5 100%
Miami (FL)
(25-9, Home 16-3)
72 72 +11.0 18% Actual:
137 (-18)
69 +15.5 0%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Crisler Center Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Nebraska
(14-16, Road 5-9)
61 67 +9.0 22% 143 63 +15.0 0%
Michigan
(22-12, Home 13-1)
67 76 -9.0 78% Actual:
128 (-15)
78 -15.0 100%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Klotsche Center Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Wright State
(26-7, Road 9-5)
73 65 -1.0 54% 129 71 -14.0 99%
Milwaukee
(15-15, Home 8-6)
69 64 +1.0 46% Actual:
142 (13)
57 +14.0 1%

Final/1OT R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Mizzou Arena Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Texas A&M
(26-8, Road 8-3)
65 59 +2.0 42% 120 59 +0.5 51%
Missouri
(24-11, Home 12-3)
70 61 -2.0 58% Actual:
135 (15)
60 -0.5 49%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Ellis T. Johnson Arena Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Tennessee State
(5-25, Road 2-15)
55 58 +25.0 3% 141 57 +26.0 0%
Morehead State
(22-11, Home 11-3)
71 83 -25.0 97% Actual:
126 (-15)
83 -26.0 100%

Final/1OT R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
CFSB Center Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Eastern Illinois
(8-18, Road 1-13)
51 65 +6.0 30% 136 61 +13.0 1%
Murray State
(11-17, Home 8-5)
60 71 -6.0 70% Actual:
111 (-25)
74 -13.0 99%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Pan American Center Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Cal State Bakersfield
(12-17, Road 5-12)
48 58 +12.0 16% 128 51 +26.0 0%
New Mexico State
(24-7, Home 9-2)
61 70 -12.0 84% Actual:
109 (-19)
77 -26.0 100%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Carmichael Arena Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Duke
(15-15, Road 4-8)
85 66 +7.0 27% 139 67 +4.0 18%
North Carolina
(18-15, Home 10-4)
69 73 -7.0 73% Actual:
154 (15)
71 -4.0 82%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Betty Engelstad Sioux Center Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
North Dakota State
(6-22, Road 1-12)
58 60 +9.0 22% 129 56 +16.0 0%
North Dakota
(11-19, Home 3-6)
70 69 -9.0 78% Actual:
128 (-1)
72 -16.0 100%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Ted Constant Convocation Center Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
UAB
(25-7, Road 11-3)
69 68 -2.0 58% 134 68 -3.5 78%
Old Dominion
(21-11, Home 11-3)
61 66 +2.0 42% Actual:
130 (-4)
65 +3.5 22%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Viking Pavilion Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Sacramento State
(9-19, Road 3-8)
58 60 +21.0 5% 141 56 +26.5 0%
Portland State
(24-8, Home 13-3)
74 81 -21.0 95% Actual:
132 (-9)
83 -26.5 100%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Mackey Arena Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Illinois
(10-20, Road 2-9)
50 61 +9.0 22% 131 56 +17.0 0%
Purdue
(19-15, Home 13-4)
72 70 -9.0 78% Actual:
122 (-9)
73 -17.0 100%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
People's United Center Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Niagara
(12-19, Road 3-11)
42 48 +27.0 2% 123 42 +37.0 0%
Quinnipiac
(26-7, Home 10-2)
62 75 -27.0 98% Actual:
104 (-19)
79 -37.0 100%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Alumni Gymnasium Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Monmouth
(14-17, Road 7-8)
50 57 +9.0 22% 123 55 +12.0 1%
Rider
(19-13, Home 8-6)
65 66 -9.0 78% Actual:
115 (-8)
67 -12.0 99%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Jenny Craig Pavilion Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Pacific
(19-13, Road 9-7)
70 75 -9.0 78% 141 76 -12.0 99%
San Diego
(8-21, Home 6-9)
53 66 +9.0 22% Actual:
123 (-18)
64 +12.0 1%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
War Memorial Gymnasium Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Pepperdine
(21-12, Road 9-9)
72 73 -5.0 67% 141 78 -16.5 100%
San Francisco
(7-24, Home 2-11)
66 68 +5.0 33% Actual:
138 (-3)
61 +16.5 0%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Leavey Center Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Loyola-Marymount
(18-15, Road 8-5)
69 62 +1.0 46% 125 63 -2.0 68%
Santa Clara
(13-17, Home 5-9)
60 63 -1.0 54% Actual:
129 (4)
61 +2.0 32%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Colonial Life Arena Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Ole Miss
(9-22, Road 1-8)
42 56 +22.0 5% 134 49 +35.5 0%
South Carolina
(23-10, Home 11-4)
76 78 -22.0 95% Actual:
118 (-16)
84 -35.5 100%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Show Me Center Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Tennessee Tech
(20-11, Road 9-6)
53 66 -2.0 58% 130 67 -5.5 87%
Southeast Missouri
(11-17, Home 6-5)
62 64 +2.0 42% Actual:
115 (-15)
62 +5.5 13%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Skyhawk Arena Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Jacksonville State
(14-15, Road 8-6)
71 61 +11.0 18% 133 57 +16.5 0%
Tennessee-Martin
(21-9, Home 12-1)
79 72 -11.0 82% Actual:
150 (17)
74 -16.5 100%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Bren Events Center Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Hawaii
(14-17, Road 6-7)
70 59 +4.0 36% 122 60 +0.5 42%
UC Irvine
(19-11, Home 9-4)
68 63 -4.0 64% Actual:
138 (16)
61 -0.5 58%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
SRC Arena Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Cal State Fullerton
(13-16, Road 6-8)
59 58 +7.0 27% 123 53 +14.5 1%
UC Riverside
(17-16, Home 8-4)
62 65 -7.0 73% Actual:
121 (-2)
68 -14.5 99%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
The Thunderdome Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
UC Davis
(24-7, Road 10-6)
70 68 -18.0 92% 118 70 -23.0 100%
UC Santa Barbara
(8-22, Home 6-8)
44 50 +18.0 8% Actual:
114 (-4)
47 +23.0 0%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
William D. Mullins Memorial Center Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Duquesne
(19-13, Road 9-5)
66 62 +3.0 39% 127 67 -9.5 96%
UMass
(16-16, Home 9-6)
69 65 -3.0 61% Actual:
135 (8)
58 +9.5 4%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
UTRGV Fieldhouse Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Grand Canyon
(7-20, Road 1-12)
42 49 +15.0 11% 113 46 +18.5 0%
UTRGV
(16-15, Home 8-5)
49 64 -15.0 89% Actual:
91 (-22)
65 -18.5 100%

Final/1OT R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
John Paul Jones Arena Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Boston College
(14-16, Road 4-6)
77 70 -2.0 58% 138 63 +11.5 2%
Virginia
(12-19, Home 8-8)
79 68 +2.0 42% Actual:
156 (18)
74 -11.5 98%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Lawrence Joel Coliseum Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Clemson
(20-13, Road 5-6)
69 65 -6.0 70% 124 70 -16.0 100%
Wake Forest
(10-20, Home 7-10)
53 59 +6.0 30% Actual:
122 (-2)
54 +16.0 0%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Alaska Airlines Arena Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Arizona
(24-13, Road 4-7)
69 69 -10.0 80% 128 68 -9.5 97%
Washington
(11-21, Home 6-9)
59 59 +10.0 20% Actual:
128 (0)
59 +9.5 3%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Friel Court Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Arizona State
(22-11, Road 7-4)
61 68 -9.0 78% 127 72 -19.0 100%
Washington State
(9-21, Home 6-9)
46 59 +9.0 22% Actual:
107 (-20)
53 +19.0 0%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Dee Events Center Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Southern Utah
(8-23, Road 1-14)
66 64 +3.0 39% 131 64 +0.5 48%
Weber State
(5-25, Home 2-11)
67 67 -3.0 61% Actual:
133 (2)
65 -0.5 52%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Ramsey Center Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Furman
(18-13, Road 4-9)
53 67 -13.0 86% 121 72 -25.0 100%
Western Carolina
(2-26, Home 1-11)
28 54 +13.0 14% Actual:
81 (-40)
47 +25.0 0%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
E. A. Diddle Arena Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Rice
(28-4, Road 11-2)
68 68 -6.0 70% 130 68 -6.0 90%
Western Kentucky
(18-15, Home 8-6)
46 62 +6.0 30% Actual:
114 (-16)
62 +6.0 10%